The cardinal rule is don't bet against Pope Pell

HE gave Australia its first saint - Mary MacKillop - and now Pope Benedict XVI's resignation has opened the door for the first Australian to become the global leader of 1.2 billion Catholics.
While Cardinal George Pell is considered a $41 outsider, observers said yesterday he was "not without a chance" to replace the 85-year-old Pontiff, who is stepping down because of ill health.
"If it were to happen it would be an extraordinary tribute to the church in Australia," commentator Professor Des Cahill said yesterday.
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World Youth Day 2008 ambassador Ron Delezio reflected the mood of many grass-roots Catholics when he said it would be a great day for Australia if Cardinal Pell became pope: "The good thing about George is that he is a fit man and he stays on the line of the Catholic church.
Tumi Le
Pope Benedict greets a young fan in Australia five years ago / Pic: Stephen Promnitz
"He is the equal of any of the cardinals over there (in Rome)."
But critics of the 71-year-old Archbishop of Sydney, including former NSW premier and World Youth Day organiser Kristina Keneally, believe Cardinal Pell has little chance of becoming pontiff: "Australians will remember Benedict's papacy fondly for Saint Mary MacKillop but he failed to deal with the sex abuse scandal.
"George Pell's response here has been directly out of the Vatican's play book. He will struggle to present a credible case to be part of the solution."
Timeline
Source: News Limited
 Cardinal Pell, who will travel to Rome to take part in the election of the new pope, yesterday said Pope Benedict's resignation had surprised him but he expected to return to Sydney after the vote.
"I was shocked by the timing (of the resignation)," Cardinal Pell said.